Credit Analysis: Financial Analysis for Credit π°
The Story of the Money Detective π
Imagine youβre a detective, but instead of solving crimes, you solve money mysteries. When someone asks to borrow money, your job is to figure out: βCan this person really pay me back?β
This is exactly what banks do every single day. They use special tools called Financial Analysis for Credit. Letβs discover these detective tools together!
π― What is Credit Financial Analysis?
Think of it like this: Before you lend your favorite toy to a friend, you probably think:
- Does my friend take care of their own toys?
- Do they usually return things?
- Can they afford to replace it if it breaks?
Credit Financial Analysis is the grown-up version of these questions!
The Three Big Questions Banks Ask:
graph TD A["Someone Wants Money"] --> B{Can They Pay?} B --> C["Check Cash Flow"] B --> D["Check DSCR"] B --> E["Check ICR"] C --> F["Make Decision"] D --> F E --> F
Banks look at three magical numbers to answer the big question: βShould we lend money to this person or company?β
π§ Cash Flow Analysis: Following the Money River
What is Cash Flow?
Imagine money is like water flowing through a garden hose.
- Money coming IN = Water flowing into the hose π¦
- Money going OUT = Water spraying out of the hose πΏ
- Cash Flow = Whatβs left in the hose!
The Simple Formula
Cash Flow = Money In - Money Out
Real-Life Example: Lemonade Stand
Letβs say little Mia runs a lemonade stand:
| What Happened | Amount |
|---|---|
| Sold lemonade | +$50 |
| Bought lemons | -$10 |
| Bought sugar | -$5 |
| Bought cups | -$5 |
| Cash Flow | $30 |
Miaβs Cash Flow = $30
This means Mia has $30 left after paying for everything. If she wants to borrow $20, a bank would say: βGreat! She makes enough to pay us back!β
Why Cash Flow Matters for Credit
graph TD A["Strong Cash Flow"] --> B["Easy to Pay Bills"] B --> C["Easy to Pay Back Loans"] C --> D["Bank Says YES! β "] E["Weak Cash Flow"] --> F["Hard to Pay Bills"] F --> G["Might Miss Loan Payments"] G --> H["Bank Says NO! β"]
Types of Cash Flow
- Operating Cash Flow - Money from your main business (selling lemonade)
- Investing Cash Flow - Money spent on big stuff (buying a lemonade cart)
- Financing Cash Flow - Money from loans or investors
Pro Tip: Banks love positive operating cash flow because it shows the business actually works!
π‘οΈ Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR): The Safety Shield
What is DSCR?
Imagine you earn $100 per week from allowance and chores. Your monthly toy subscription costs $20.
Question: How many times can you pay that $20?
$100 Γ· $20 = 5 times!
That β5β is your Debt Service Coverage Ratio - how many times over you can pay your bills!
The Magic Formula
DSCR = Money Available to Pay Debt
βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Total Debt Payments Needed
Understanding DSCR Numbers
| DSCR | What It Means | Bankβs Reaction |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 1.0 | Canβt pay all debts! | π¨ BIG TROUBLE |
| 1.0 | Just barely enough | π° Very Risky |
| 1.25 | Some cushion | π€ Okay, maybe |
| 1.5+ | Comfortable! | π Looking good! |
| 2.0+ | Super safe! | π Excellent! |
Real Example: Pizza Palace Restaurant
Pizza Palaceβs Numbers:
- Makes $120,000 per year (after expenses)
- Needs to pay $80,000 per year for all loans
DSCR = $120,000 Γ· $80,000 = 1.5
What this means: Pizza Palace can pay their loans 1.5 times over! They have a 50% safety cushion. The bank feels comfortable.
Why DSCR Matters
graph TD A["High DSCR"] --> B["More Money Than Bills"] B --> C["Safe to Lend"] D["Low DSCR"] --> E["Bills Eat All Money"] E --> F["Dangerous to Lend"]
The Golden Rule: Most banks want to see DSCR of at least 1.25 before lending money!
β‘ Interest Coverage Ratio (ICR): The Interest Test
What is ICR?
Letβs zoom in on just ONE part of debt payments: interest.
When you borrow money, you donβt just pay back what you borrowed. You also pay interest - a fee for using someone elseβs money.
ICR tells us: βHow easily can you pay JUST the interest?β
The Simple Formula
ICR = Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Interest Payments
Understanding ICR Numbers
Think of it as a report card:
| ICR | Grade | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| < 1.0 | π± F | Canβt even pay interest! |
| 1.0-1.5 | π D | Barely surviving |
| 1.5-2.0 | π C | Struggling |
| 2.0-3.0 | π B | Comfortable |
| 3.0+ | π A | Excellent! |
Real Example: Sunnyβs Bookstore
Sunnyβs Bookstore Numbers:
- Earns $60,000 per year (before paying interest and taxes)
- Pays $15,000 per year in interest
ICR = $60,000 Γ· $15,000 = 4.0
What this means: Sunny can pay her interest 4 times over! Even if business drops by 75%, she can still pay her interest. The bank loves this!
ICR vs DSCR: Whatβs the Difference?
| Feature | ICR | DSCR |
|---|---|---|
| Focuses on | Only interest | ALL debt payments |
| Includes principal? | No | Yes |
| Easier to pass? | Usually yes | Usually harder |
| What it tells bank | Can they survive? | Can they actually repay? |
graph TD A["Total Debt Payment"] --> B["Interest Portion"] A --> C["Principal Portion"] B --> D["ICR looks at this"] B --> E["DSCR looks at"] C --> E
π How All Three Work Together
These three tools are like a team of detectives working together:
The Credit Analysis Team
graph TD A["Credit Application"] --> B["Cash Flow Analysis"] A --> C["DSCR Calculation"] A --> D["ICR Calculation"] B --> E{All Three Pass?} C --> E D --> E E -->|Yes| F["Loan Approved! π"] E -->|No| G["Loan Denied π"]
Complete Example: Tomβs Tech Shop
Tom wants to borrow $100,000 to expand his computer repair shop.
Tomβs Numbers:
| Item | Amount |
|---|---|
| Revenue | $300,000 |
| Operating Expenses | -$200,000 |
| Operating Cash Flow | $100,000 |
| EBIT (Earnings) | $80,000 |
| Interest Payments | $20,000 |
| Total Debt Payments | $50,000 |
The Three Tests:
-
Cash Flow Test: β
- $100,000 positive cash flow
- Verdict: Healthy money river!
-
DSCR Test: β
- $100,000 Γ· $50,000 = 2.0
- Verdict: Can pay debts 2 times over!
-
ICR Test: β
- $80,000 Γ· $20,000 = 4.0
- Verdict: Interest is super affordable!
Bankβs Decision: APPROVED! π
π Quick Summary: The Three Musketeers of Credit
| Tool | Question It Answers | Good Number |
|---|---|---|
| Cash Flow | Is money flowing in? | Positive! |
| DSCR | Can they pay ALL debts? | 1.25+ |
| ICR | Can they at least pay interest? | 2.0+ |
Remember This Story!
Think of borrowing money like climbing a mountain:
- Cash Flow = Do you have energy to climb?
- DSCR = Do you have enough supplies for the whole trip?
- ICR = Do you at least have water for survival?
If any answer is βno,β the mountain (loan) might be too risky!
π You Did It!
You now understand how banks think about lending money. Youβre like a mini credit analyst!
Key Takeaways:
- π§ Cash Flow shows if money is coming in
- π‘οΈ DSCR shows if ALL debts can be paid
- β‘ ICR shows if interest can be covered
Next time you hear about someone getting a loan, youβll know the bank checked all three of these numbers first!
Keep learning, keep growing! π
